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Running Pace Calculator: Pace, Speed and Race Predictions

Work out your running pace (min/km) and speed from a distance and time, plus predicted finish times for 5K, 10K, half and full marathon using Riegel's formula.

Updated: September 7, 2026 · 🔒 Your data never leaves your browser

Running pace is your time per kilometre: 10 km in 50 minutes is a pace of 5:00 min/km and a speed of 12 km/h. Enter the distance and time of your run — the calculator gives your pace, speed and predicted finish times for 5K, 10K, half and full marathon.

Time

h

min

sec

Pace

5:00

min/km

Speed

12.0

km/h

Predicted times by distance

5K 23:59
10K · your run50:00
Half marathon 1:50:19
Marathon 3:50:01

Estimated with Riegel's formula from your result, assuming similar fitness. It's accurate from roughly 1500 m to the marathon and drifts for sprints and ultras. A real marathon depends heavily on endurance and fuelling, not just your current pace.

Pace, speed and predictions — what the calculator gives

From a single run it answers three questions.

Pace — minutes per kilometre (min/km). This is the runner's working unit: training and race splits are planned in pace. A lower number is faster.

Speed — kilometres per hour (km/h). The same thing, but the familiar form for a gym treadmill, which is set in km/h.

Predicted times for 5K, 10K, half and full marathon — an estimate of what to expect at other distances on your current form.

How the prediction works: Riegel's formula

The prediction uses Peter Riegel's formula (1981):

TermMeaning
T₂ = T₁ × (D₂ / D₁)^1.06Time at the new distance
T₁, D₁Your time and distance from the run
D₂The distance you're predicting for
1.06Exponent: pace slows slightly as distance grows
Riegel's formula works well from roughly 1500 m to the marathon

The 1.06 exponent captures a simple fact: the longer the distance, the slightly slower your average pace — you can't hold 5K pace over a marathon. So a marathon predicted from a 5K is always slower than simple multiplication.

Time

h

min

sec

Pace

5:00

min/km

Speed

12.0

km/h

Predicted times by distance

5K 23:59
10K · your run50:00
Half marathon 1:50:19
Marathon 3:50:01

Estimated with Riegel's formula from your result, assuming similar fitness. It's accurate from roughly 1500 m to the marathon and drifts for sprints and ultras. A real marathon depends heavily on endurance and fuelling, not just your current pace.

Where the prediction is wrong

The formula assumes you're equally prepared for every distance. In practice you're not:

The practical takeaway: a prediction to a neighbouring distance (10K to half marathon) is usually close, while a jump 'from 5K to marathon' should be read as a ceiling, not a plan.

Читайте также: Running for Beginners: How to Start and Stick With It

Using pace in training

The same running speed does different jobs depending on your heart rate. Most of your mileage is best run slowly — in 'zone 2', where you can hold a conversation. It's easy running that builds endurance, not constant all-out effort.

Читайте также: Zone 2: Why Slow Running Makes You Faster

Читайте также: Heart Rate Zones: How to Calculate and Why They Matter

FAQ

How do I calculate running pace?+

Divide your time by the distance. Run 10 km in 50 minutes and that's 300 seconds per kilometre, i.e. a pace of 5:00 min/km, or 12 km/h. The calculator above does this instantly and converts between the two.

What's the difference between pace and speed?+

They're the same thing expressed differently. Pace is minutes per kilometre (lower is faster); speed is kilometres per hour (higher is faster). Runners usually think in pace (min/km), while a gym treadmill is set in speed (km/h).

How accurate is the marathon prediction?+

The prediction uses Riegel's formula from your result and is accurate from roughly 1500 m to the marathon, assuming similar fitness. But the longer the distance, the more the result depends on endurance and race-day fuelling, not just your current pace. A real marathon is almost always slower than the 'maths' unless you've put in the mileage.

What is a good running pace?+

'Good' depends on age, sex and experience. Rough amateur benchmarks: an easy jog is 6:00–7:00 min/km, a solid recreational 10K pace is around 5:00–5:30, and 4:30 or faster is a trained level. What matters more than the absolute number is your progress relative to yourself.

References

  1. 1.Riegel PS. Athletic records and human endurance. American Scientist, 1981
  2. 2.Vickers AJ, Vertosick EA. An empirical study of race times in recreational endurance runners. BMC Sports Sci Med Rehabil, 2016
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